Both the Hassan and Bolduc camps agree that the New Hampshire Senate race is extremely close with Bolduc surging in the polls.
There’s a lot of news coming out on the New Hampshire U.S. Senate race. The two major party candidates are Democrat Maggie Hassan (Opportunity Score -0.80, poor anti-opportunity) and Republican Don Bolduc (Opportunity Score +4.80, strong pro-opportunity).
Real Clear Politics rates the race as a Toss-up.
Here’s our side-by-side comparison of Bolduc and Hassan:
Here’s a quick roundup of news on that race:
An internal strategy memo from the Hassan campaign says that Bolduc is doing far better than public polls indicate. Here’s an excerpt:
“Our own internal poling shows that Don Bolduc is quickly consolidating the Republican base and is rapidly making up ground against Senator Hassan. While many public polls still show Bolduc getting 80 percent of the Republican base, our own polling shows that he will get 90+ percent of Republicans that typically the case for a GOP nominee and is therefore well on his way 10 making this a tied race.”
WGBH says that Don Bolduc is gaining on Maggie Hassan (link)
The most recent poll by Trafalgar has Hassan up by a mere 3 percentage points. Only 35 percent of respondents to that poll were Republicans. Therefore, it’s likely that Republicans were underweighted in the sample.
Further evidence that Bolduc is surging is that Hassan is now refusing to debate with General Bolduc. That’s not a good look for Hassan and a sign of an incumbent in deep trouble.
Don Bolduc has a long piece in the Daily Caller with a lot more information (link)
Remember that Donald Trump outperformed the last six New Hampshire polls by 3 percentage points. If Don Bolduc also outperforms by 3, then the race is dead even right now.
Lots of GOUSA members and activists are in the New England area and many are watching this race closely. Plan to stay up late on November 8 to watch the results.